(Blog Written by Donald Sutherland) August 1-7, 2012 Thoughts: The story of this period will likely continue to be a persistence of high heat and lack of rainfall in the drought-stricken Central Plains. Although the East Coast and Great Lakes regions are likely to be warmer than normal, excessive heat does not appear likely to …
Aug 04
Record Heat (July 18, 2012)
(Blog Written by Donald Sutherland) Some highs from today (through 2 pm): Baltimore: 102° (tied record set in 1887) Hartford: 100° (broke record of 99° set in 1982) Newark: 104° (broke record of 100° set in 1982) New York City: 100° (2012 is the 3rd consecutive year with a 100° reading at NYC and only …
Aug 04
Long Range Weather Forecast (August 2012)
(Blog Written by Donald Sutherland) August 2012 Forecast: The hot and dry summer of 2012 will go on. Key Assumptions: • A weak El Niño event will be underway in August • The AO will likely be somewhat positive • The PNA will likely be somewhat negative The top analog was 2006. The charts on …
Aug 04
Long Range Weather Forecast (July 24 – 31, 2012)
(Blog Written by Donald Sutherland) July 24-31, 2012 Thoughts: The GFS ensembles continue to suggest that the PNA could go strongly negative prior to the start of this period (values -1.00 or below). At the same time, the development of a possible El Niño event continues albeit on a gradual basis. As a result, one …
Aug 04
Long Range Weather Thoughts
(Blog Written by Donald Sutherland) Some morning thoughts… 1. Yesterday, the Temple/Miller, TX automatic observation site recorded a temperature of 129°F (53.9°C). It remains to be seen whether this recording will be validated. What is more clear is that the focus of the heat has shifted to the Western Third of the U.S. and Canada. …