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Long Range Weather Forecast (August 8 – 15, 2012)

(Blog Written by Donald Sutherland) August 8-15, 2012 Thoughts: The story of this period yet again will likely continue to be a persistence of high heat and lack of rainfall in the drought-stricken Central Plains. The potential will exist for heat to surge into the Middle Atlantic region and possibly New England later in the …

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Long Range Weather Forecast (August 1 – 7, 2012)

(Blog Written by Donald Sutherland) August 1-7, 2012 Thoughts: The story of this period will likely continue to be a persistence of high heat and lack of rainfall in the drought-stricken Central Plains. Although the East Coast and Great Lakes regions are likely to be warmer than normal, excessive heat does not appear likely to …

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Record Heat (July 18, 2012)

(Blog Written by Donald Sutherland) Some highs from today (through 2 pm): Baltimore: 102° (tied record set in 1887) Hartford: 100° (broke record of 99° set in 1982) Newark: 104° (broke record of 100° set in 1982) New York City: 100° (2012 is the 3rd consecutive year with a 100° reading at NYC and only …

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Long Range Weather Forecast (August 2012)

(Blog Written by Donald Sutherland) August 2012 Forecast: The hot and dry summer of 2012 will go on. Key Assumptions: • A weak El Niño event will be underway in August • The AO will likely be somewhat positive • The PNA will likely be somewhat negative The top analog was 2006. The charts on …

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Long Range Weather Forecast (July 24 – 31, 2012)

(Blog Written by Donald Sutherland) July 24-31, 2012 Thoughts: The GFS ensembles continue to suggest that the PNA could go strongly negative prior to the start of this period (values -1.00 or below). At the same time, the development of a possible El Niño event continues albeit on a gradual basis. As a result, one …

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