Winter Weather Outlooks

Hi Everyone,

The consensus is building for a colder and snowier for a good portion of the US.

My thought is that this winter, especially for the Eastern US will feature temperatures below average and above average snowfall.  This year, we can expect a weak El Nino, which will help the subtropical jet stream to be much more active, meaning bigger storms.  Certain indicators such as the Arctic Oscillation will likely be negative, meaning the polar vortex can get displaced and allow arctic air to enter the US.  Another key item is blocking.  If the North Atlantic Oscillation is negative this winter and odds are it will be, that will play a role to slow down these storms that form along the East Coast.  This will mean the threat of bigger winter storms likely.  For instance, Philadelphia may see twice the average snowfall (20 inches).  Monthly temperatures may average -1 to -3 degrees.  For the Western US, place like California, should get some above average precipitation.  Still, a major and severe drought remain for these locations.  So, hopefully, tey get the much needed rainfall. Unfortunately, too much precipitation occurs and you get major flooding.  Check out below some of the winter weather outlooks.  

Here are a few Winter Weather Outlooks for everyone to check out…

Climate Prediction Center

• NOAA: Another warm winter likely for western U.S., South may see colder weather
  • Video Version

Dave Toleris – WXRISK.com

• FIRST  if you   just want the General forecast  …without too much science …..(  for a business person   or  lay person ) 
  • PRELIM long Winter preview 2014-2015SHORT
• BUT if  you  want the   SERIOUS    meteorology    then this  LINK is for  you
  • PRELIM long Winter preview 2014-2015

Capital Weather Gang 

• Capital Weather Gang 2014-2015 winter outlook for Washington, D.C.: Colder and snowier than normal
  

The Weather Channel

• The Weather Channel 2014-2015 Winter Forecast