Oct 13

U.S. Hazards Outlook (Mon, Oct 14th through Fri, Oct 25th)

Hi Everyone,

Check out the latest US Hazards Outlook from the Climate Prediction Center below. 

 

US HAZARDS OUTLOOK
NWS Weather Prediction Center and Climate Prediction Center
College Park, MD
300 PM EDT Friday, October 11, 2024

Day 3 – 7 Outlook  Day 8 – 14 Outlook 

 

US Day 3 – 7 Hazards Outlook

Issued by the Weather Prediction Center (WPC)

Valid Monday, October 14th through Friday, October 18th  

 …Overview…

A pattern change is forecast by midweek in the West, as upper troughing and then reinforcing energy come in from the eastern Pacific, leading to much cooler temperatures and increasing precipitation chances, including higher elevation snow. Upper ridging ahead of this trough will promote warmer than average temperatures in the northern/central Plains to Midwest as it gradually moves east, eventually displacing the chilly upper trough and surface high in the East by late week into next weekend.

Click here for the rest of the forecast discussion 

 

 

US Weather Hazards

Issued by the Climate Prediction Center

8 to 14 Day Outlook Summary 

Valid Saturday, October 19th through Friday, October 25th 

Synopsis: A generally quiet pattern is predicted across the contiguous U.S. (CONUS) during week-2, with mid-level high pressure shifting into the East favoring above-normal temperatures. Late in week-1 into the outset of week-2, mid-level low pressure is forecast to dig into the western CONUS. This feature, combined with return flow around surface high pressure in the East, favors an uptick in precipitation chances across the Great Plains which may help alleviate ongoing drought conditions. Enhanced onshore flow may bring rounds of heavy precipitation into the Pacific Northwest. Flooding in the wake of Hurricane Milton remains a concern over parts of Florida.

 

Experimental Probabilistic Outlooks
Temperature Hazards Precipitation Hazards Wind Hazards
Snow Hazards
 
Weather Hazards

  • Slight risk for heavy precipitation across portions of the Pacific Northwest, Sat-Sun, Oct 19-20.
  • Possible flooding for the northern and central Florida Peninsula.
  • Risk of Rapid Onset Drought (ROD) across portions of eastern Texas, northern Louisiana, and southern Arkansas.

For the full discussion, click here

  

6 to 10 Day Maps
6 to 10 Day - Temperatures 6 to 10 Day - Precipitation
6 to 10 Day Analog Year Maps
500mb Map Temperatures Precipitation
6 to 10 Day Analogs 6 to 10 Day Temperature Analogs 6 to 10 Day Precipitation Analogs

8 to 14 Day Maps
8 to 14 Day - Temperatures 8 to 14 Day - Precipitation
8 to 14 Day Analog Year Maps
500mb Temperature Precipitation
8 to 14 Day Analogs 8 to 14 Day Temperature Analogs 8 to 14 Day Precipitation Analogs

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Climate Prediction Center

Background

Vision

  • An informed society preparing for and responding to climate variations and their impacts

 

Mission 

  • CPC delivers real-time products and information that predict and describe climate variations on timescales from weeks to years thereby promoting effective management of climate risk and a climate-resilient society.

 

Expert Assessments 

  • Climate Prediction Center (CPC) meteorologists and oceanographers review climate and weather observations and data along with model results; assess their meaning, significance, and current status; and likely future climate impacts. Their findings are issued as assessments, advisories, special outlook discussions, and bulletins.

 

U.S Hazards Outlook

  • From Monday-Friday, the CPC issues an outlook of weather- and climate-related hazards to the United States for the next three to fourteen days.