Philadelphia Area Weather Hazard Forecast (12/30 – 1/13/14)

Hi Everyone,

 

I’m finally able to publish my outlooks this afternoon.  Usually, I publish them on Sunday.  Anyway, I made a few changes just a few minutes ago on my outlooks.  Potential is building for a significant winter storm by the end of the week for much of the Philadelphia Area.  Low pressure will gather over the Deep South on Wednesday and Thursday and then move off the Middle Atlantic Coast and intensify.  Quite a bit of the model data, which backed off the idea of of a big winter storm have come back. I will have updates on this developing situation as the week goes on.  So, a big snow threat is possible late this week, then some record cold is expected this weekend. As this storm system rapidly intensifies and moves away from the coast, bitter arctic air will move in for the weekend.  If we get a fresh snow cover, temperatures could dip into the single digit range.  So, wintry weather is definitely going to be the big story late this week.  Definitely stay alert for late this week and if you have travel plans, please plan accordingly. 

 

After check out these outlooks, check your local National Weather Service forecasts by clicking here. Just enter your zip code and you’ll be able to get the latest updates.   

 

ezweather.com’s Weather Hazard Forecasts

Southeastern Pennsylvania, Northeast Maryland, South Jersey, and Delaware
Issued: Sunday Evening, December 29th 
Forecast Valid: Mon, Dec 30 through Mon, Jan 13, 2014

 

1_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229
Check out the supporting data for my forecasts.  You can get an idea of how I assess this period for hazardous weather.  
Upper Air Pattern Precipitation
2_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229 3_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229 4_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229 5_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229
6_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229
 
Surface Weather 
Monday, December 30th  Wednesday, January 1st 
7_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229 8_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229 10_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229 11_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229
9_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229 12_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131222
Thursday, January 2nd Friday, January 3rd
13_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229 14_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131222 16_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229 17_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229
15_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229 18_WXSRO_5_FCST_PHL_20131229

 

W

6 to 10 Day Weather Outlook 

1_WXLRO_610-1115_FCST_PHL_20131229 2_WXLRO_610-1115_FCST_PHL_20131229
Check out the supporting data for my forecasts.  You can get an idea of how I assess this period for hazardous weather.  
Upper Air Pattern
3_WXLRO_610-1115_FCST_PHL_20131229 4_WXLRO_610-1115_FCST_PHL_20131229
Temperature Outlook
5_WXLRO_610-1115_FCST_PHL_20131229 6_WXLRO_610-814_FCST_PHL_20131229
Precipitation Total Outlook 
7_WXLRO_610-814_FCST_PHL_20131229 8_WXLRO_610-814_FCST_PHL_20131229

 

11 to 15 Day Weather Outlook  

 

9_WXLRO_610-1115_FCST_PHL_20131229 10_WXLRO_610-1115_FCST_PHL_20131229
Check out the supporting data for my forecasts.  You can get an idea of how I assess this period for hazardous weather.  
Upper Air Pattern
11_WXLRO_610-1115_FCST_PHL_20131229 12_WXLRO_610-1115_FCST_PHL_20131222
Temperature Outlook 
13_WXLRO_610-1115_FCST_PHL_20131229 14_WXLRO_610-1115_FCST_PHL_20131229
Precipitation Total Outlook 
15_WXLRO_610-1115_FCST_PHL_20131229 17_WXLRO_610-1115_FCST_PHL_20131229

**********************************************************************************************************************************************  Background Information This type of forecast is high level and designed to help folks to plan for hazardous weather with a longer lead time.  So, these type of forecasts will aid anyone involved with Skywarn, Emergency Management and the Public. These forecasts are quick assessments and experimental.  The goal with this type of forecast is to to point out whether each period will be active or not.  In addition, these tables can be treated as a severe weather index level.      W