(Blog Written by Donald Sutherland) July 2012 Forecast: Despite the likely emergence of an El Niño event in July, the month will likely be uncharacteristically warm. In fact, when one considers the likely ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly of +1.0°C or above, the warmth that appears likely will be exceptional. Key Assumptions: • An El Niño …
July 2012 archive
Jul 29
Long Range Weather Forecast (7/1 – 7/7/12)
(Blog Written by Donald Sutherland) July 1-7, 2012 Thoughts: With the exception of the Great Lakes region, most of North America will likely be warmer than normal during the first week in July. Extreme heat is not likely in the eastern third of the U.S. The charts below are as follows: Left: The composite temperature …
Jul 29
Long Range Weather Forecast (6/23 – 6/30/12)
(Blog Written by Donald Sutherland) June 23-30, 2012 Thoughts: The final week of June appears likely to witness the warmest readings relative to normal in parts of the East. In fact, compensating for the shorter wavelengths, much of North America looks to be warmer than normal. Moreover, with some hot analogs showing up, it appears …
Jul 29
Long Range Weather Forecast (6/16 – 6/22/12)
(Blog Written by Donald Sutherland) June 16-22, 2012 Thoughts: The June 16-22 period is likely to feature widespread warmth. At the same time, there is a growing possibility that an unseasonably hot air mass could be heading eastward toward the end of the period, setting the stage for a hot final week of the month …
Jul 29
Long Range Weather Forecast (6/8 – 6/15/12)
(Blog written by Donald Sutherland) June 8-15, 2012 Thoughts: The second week of June could be shaping up as the coolest week relative to normal across parts of North America. Both the forecast MJO and the teleconnection analogs suggest that an area running from the Great Lakes region into central Canada could witness cool anomalies. …
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